Workflow · Assess Opportunity Risk
Illustrative walkthrough
State the opportunity and the assumptions it rests on, so the risks attach to something specific.
Surface what could weaken the thesis — market, competitive, execution, evidence.
Rate each risk on likelihood and impact to separate the material from the noise.
For the material risks, frame the mitigation or the evidence that would de-risk it.
Recommend the leading signals to monitor that would flag a risk turning real.
Evidence gap
A live run names the specific evidence to firm up before deciding here; this worked example marks where that check lands.
Final output
Assess Opportunity Risk answers “What could weaken this opportunity or thesis, and how exposed are we?” This worked example walks the full methodology step by step; a live run applies it to your chosen scope, carrying its own evidence, scores and recommendation.