Workflow · Risk

Monitor Assumptions

Check whether new evidence has undermined the assumptions a past decision rested on, flag the ones that have drifted, and recommend what to re-analyze.

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Question it answers

Have new facts undermined an assumption a past decision rested on?

Inputs

· Prior analyses / decisions
· Assumption inventory
· Fresh evidence window
· Materiality threshold

Steps

1. Inventory the assumptions — Assemble the load-bearing assumptions behind the analyses in scope.
2. Check against fresh evidence — Test each assumption against evidence that has arrived since it was made.
3. Flag the drift — Flag the assumptions that no longer hold, and by how much.
4. Assess the impact — Judge how the drift changes the conclusions those assumptions supported.
5. Recommend re-analysis — Recommend which analyses to rerun and how urgently.